Late May is here and thus it's far too early (meaning, it's the perfect time) to begin forecasting the 2009 BYU football season. The schedule is intriguiging, the team a bit of a mystery after last season's fade and some key losses. But here's one man's uneducated guess as how things will unfold this fall.
Sept. 5: BYU vs. Oklahoma
Max Hall is sacked six times by OU's defense as the new Cougar O-line has some issues. Still, Hall passes for 277 yards and two scores. But BYU's running game is largley grounded and the defense can't stop the Sooners' prolific passing game.
Pick: Oklahoma 38, BYU 17
Sept. 12: BYU at Tulane
Cougars won't drop 70 on the Green Wave this time around (remember Crowton's debut), but the offense does explode. Harvey Unga goes for 1oo-plus on the ground and Dennis Pitta snags two TD catches.
Pick: BYU 38, Tulane 20
Sept. 19: Florida State at BYU
BYU opens the home slate with a hard-fought clash against the Seminoles. Balance on offense and the ever-improving play of the linebacking core lifts the Cougs.
Pick: BYU 27, FSU 23
Sept. 26: Colorado State at BYU
Rams are improving and won't go quietly. But BYU is simply too tough for most MWC teams at LES. Hall piles up 400 through the air and McKay Jacobson has a breakout game.
Pick: BYU 41, CSU 23
Oct. 2: Utah State at BYU
Cougars cap three-game home stand in style and put folks in a good mood for Conference weekend with a runaway win over the Aggies.
Pick: BYU 38, USU 13
Oct. 10: BYU at UNLV
Mike Sanford will continue to rub folks the wrong way and his Rebels will underachieve. Despite that, BYU struggles in this one. Manase Tonga makes key plays in the fourth quarter to key a win.
Pick: BYU 27, UNLV 20
Oct. 17: BYU at San Diego State
BYU offense finds its stride in sunny San Diego. Aztecs start to quit on yet another coach.
Pick: BYU 48, SDSU 17
Oct. 24: TCU at BYU
Horned Frogs spoil homecoming as BYU can't find a way to move the ball consistently. Much closer than 2008 embarrassment in Fort Worth, but Cougars fall.
Pick: TCU 31, BYU 20
Nov. 7: BYU at Wyoming
Coming off a bye week, Cougars start slow, but roll after first quarter. Wyoming puts up little resistance after intermission.
Pick: BYU 40, Wyoming 17
Nov. 14: BYU at New Mexico
A tough stretch of four road games in five outings ends with a tight game in Albuquerque. Hall throws two picks and a painful fumble from J.J. Diluigi costs the Cougars late.
Pick: UNM 31, BYU 30
Nov. 21: Air Force at BYU
Career days for Andrew George and O'Neill Chambers as BYU rebounds nicely. Vic So'oto finding stride at linebacker, tallying 12 tackles.
Pick: BYU 44, Air Force 20
Nov. 28: Utah at BYU
Utes come in with three losses and no BCS dreams. With an outside shot at sharing the MWC title, BYU earns third win in four years over Utah.
Pick: BYU 31, Utah 23
BYU winds up 9-3 overall and 6-2 in MWC play. TCU wins conference crown, while Utes slip to third place. Cougars spend some pre-Christmas days in San Diego, playing in the Poinsettia Bowl.
Thursday, May 28, 2009
Monday, February 23, 2009
Prepping for the Madness
The best event in sports is only weeks away. The question: Will BYU be a part of it?
Bracketologists have had BYU among the "last four in" to the NCAA Tournament field for the past few weeks and Saturday's setback to UNLV exacerbates the situation.
After another frustrating setback to the Rebels in Las Vegas, the Cougars head to Cox Arena, a place that's proven equally bad for BYU in recent seasons.
But San Diego State's Billy White is sidelined for this one and BYU can't let a key opportunity pass by. Win and the Cougars have a great shot to share the league crown and finish the regular season with a four-game winning streak. Do that and BYU winds up 24-6 overall and 12-4 in a tough MWC.
Not too shabby.
But Tuesday night is huge. BYU should beat Utah in Provo, get past Wyoming in Laramie and paste Air Force at home. That would give the Cougars wins in 9 of their last 10 outings entering the MWC tourney.
In actuality, taking the No. 2 seed in the tourney is ideal. Let Utah have the No. 1 spot and face UNLV in the semis. As the No. 2 seed, BYU likely gets TCU or Wyoming in Round 1. Easy win. Then it's San Diego State or New Mexico in the semis, rather than UNLV. Tough, but better than facing the Rebels, who likely beat Utah on the other side of the bracket.
We're likely looking at another BYU-UNLV tourney title tilt. But if BYU comes in 26-6, it should have a bid locked up.
We'll see how it plays out.
Let the madness begin.
Bracketologists have had BYU among the "last four in" to the NCAA Tournament field for the past few weeks and Saturday's setback to UNLV exacerbates the situation.
After another frustrating setback to the Rebels in Las Vegas, the Cougars head to Cox Arena, a place that's proven equally bad for BYU in recent seasons.
But San Diego State's Billy White is sidelined for this one and BYU can't let a key opportunity pass by. Win and the Cougars have a great shot to share the league crown and finish the regular season with a four-game winning streak. Do that and BYU winds up 24-6 overall and 12-4 in a tough MWC.
Not too shabby.
But Tuesday night is huge. BYU should beat Utah in Provo, get past Wyoming in Laramie and paste Air Force at home. That would give the Cougars wins in 9 of their last 10 outings entering the MWC tourney.
In actuality, taking the No. 2 seed in the tourney is ideal. Let Utah have the No. 1 spot and face UNLV in the semis. As the No. 2 seed, BYU likely gets TCU or Wyoming in Round 1. Easy win. Then it's San Diego State or New Mexico in the semis, rather than UNLV. Tough, but better than facing the Rebels, who likely beat Utah on the other side of the bracket.
We're likely looking at another BYU-UNLV tourney title tilt. But if BYU comes in 26-6, it should have a bid locked up.
We'll see how it plays out.
Let the madness begin.
Wednesday, December 17, 2008
Best BYU sports weekend of the year
Every year during the short span when BYU's football and basketball seasons overlap, we are treated to one weekend when both squads play big games.
In 2007, it was BYU's fourth-and-18 win over Utah in the gridiron, coinciding with the BYU hoopsters upsetting No. 6 Louisville and taking No. 1 North Carolina to the wire during a hardwood tourney in Las Vegas.
The 2008 offering comes Saturday as the 16th-ranked BYU football team plays Arizona in the Las Vegas Bowl and the unbeaten basketball Cougars face No. 18 Arizona State at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
If Lee Cummand and company can beat the Sun Devils, the Cougars will vault into the Top 25 with an 11-0 mark and likely be ranked in the Top 20 when they host No. 10 Wake Forest on Jan. 3. That'll be a fun one.
BYU's football team looks to end on a positive note and earn a third straight 11-win season against an Arizona team that runs similar offensive and defensive schemes to the Cougars.
The B-ball tips at 2:30 p.m. on FSN. The gridders take the field at 6 p.m. on ESPN.
It's a feast worthy of the holiday season. And if the Cougars go 2-0 on the day, we'll all be wearing by smiles when we show up to church Sunday.
Enjoy.
In 2007, it was BYU's fourth-and-18 win over Utah in the gridiron, coinciding with the BYU hoopsters upsetting No. 6 Louisville and taking No. 1 North Carolina to the wire during a hardwood tourney in Las Vegas.
The 2008 offering comes Saturday as the 16th-ranked BYU football team plays Arizona in the Las Vegas Bowl and the unbeaten basketball Cougars face No. 18 Arizona State at University of Phoenix Stadium in Glendale, Ariz.
If Lee Cummand and company can beat the Sun Devils, the Cougars will vault into the Top 25 with an 11-0 mark and likely be ranked in the Top 20 when they host No. 10 Wake Forest on Jan. 3. That'll be a fun one.
BYU's football team looks to end on a positive note and earn a third straight 11-win season against an Arizona team that runs similar offensive and defensive schemes to the Cougars.
The B-ball tips at 2:30 p.m. on FSN. The gridders take the field at 6 p.m. on ESPN.
It's a feast worthy of the holiday season. And if the Cougars go 2-0 on the day, we'll all be wearing by smiles when we show up to church Sunday.
Enjoy.
Saturday, November 8, 2008
Monday, October 20, 2008
Is BYU still alive for a BCS bid?
Question 1: Is BYU still alive for a BCS bowl berth after an embarrassing 32-7 loss at TCU?
Answer: Yes.
Question 2: Do the Cougars deserve that?
Answer: No.
Simply put, BYU did not look remotely like a BCS caliber team in last Thursday's loss in Fort Worth.
The Cougars are No. 21 in the first BCS standings of the season. Five other non-BCS conference teams are ranked above the Cougars, including Utah (No. 11), Boise State (12), TCU (14), Tulsa (19) and Ball State (20).
Here's what needs to happen for the Cougars to get into the BCS Top 12 by the end of November and pass the handful of teams above in the BCS-buster mix.
1. BYU must win out and win convincingly.
2. Utah must beat TCU and lose to BYU. A loss by the Utes against New Mexico is also possible, but may not actually help the Cougars' cause. Beating an 11-0, Top 10 Utah team would look a lot better for the Y on Nov. 22.
3. Boise State must lose. The Broncos have an extremeley soft schedule, so this isn't likely. The best bets to give BSU a game are San Jose State this week, Nevada on Nov. 22 and Fresno State on Nov. 28. Too bad the Bulldogs have gone down the toilet since the loss to Wisconsin.
4. Ball State and Tulsa must lose. Ball State faces nothing but MAC fodder. Miami (Ohio) and Central Michigan will need to play outstanding games to have a shot. As for Tulsa, an Oct. 26 home game against Central Florida and a Nov. 1 road trip to Arkansas are the "toughest" obstacles against a junior-high caliber schedule. A trip to Houston on Nov. 15 could be a mild test.
In short, the odds are long for BYU to get back in the mix. If the Cougars win out, they will be ranked in the Top 12. But passing the teams above them, especially if those teams keep winning, isn't likely.
Looks like another December trip to Vegas or maybe a return to Fort Worth (ughh).
Answer: Yes.
Question 2: Do the Cougars deserve that?
Answer: No.
Simply put, BYU did not look remotely like a BCS caliber team in last Thursday's loss in Fort Worth.
The Cougars are No. 21 in the first BCS standings of the season. Five other non-BCS conference teams are ranked above the Cougars, including Utah (No. 11), Boise State (12), TCU (14), Tulsa (19) and Ball State (20).
Here's what needs to happen for the Cougars to get into the BCS Top 12 by the end of November and pass the handful of teams above in the BCS-buster mix.
1. BYU must win out and win convincingly.
2. Utah must beat TCU and lose to BYU. A loss by the Utes against New Mexico is also possible, but may not actually help the Cougars' cause. Beating an 11-0, Top 10 Utah team would look a lot better for the Y on Nov. 22.
3. Boise State must lose. The Broncos have an extremeley soft schedule, so this isn't likely. The best bets to give BSU a game are San Jose State this week, Nevada on Nov. 22 and Fresno State on Nov. 28. Too bad the Bulldogs have gone down the toilet since the loss to Wisconsin.
4. Ball State and Tulsa must lose. Ball State faces nothing but MAC fodder. Miami (Ohio) and Central Michigan will need to play outstanding games to have a shot. As for Tulsa, an Oct. 26 home game against Central Florida and a Nov. 1 road trip to Arkansas are the "toughest" obstacles against a junior-high caliber schedule. A trip to Houston on Nov. 15 could be a mild test.
In short, the odds are long for BYU to get back in the mix. If the Cougars win out, they will be ranked in the Top 12. But passing the teams above them, especially if those teams keep winning, isn't likely.
Looks like another December trip to Vegas or maybe a return to Fort Worth (ughh).
Tuesday, September 16, 2008
Where does the UCLA game rank?
What a difference a week makes. After a 28-27 win at Washington, BYU got nothing but bad publicity after blocking a late extra point to beat the Huskies. Now? Well, a 59-0 thrashing of UCLA does wonders for one's resume.
Just how good was the UCLA win? Well, it's not only drawing big talk from ESPN and other national outlets, but fans are still buzzing days later.
This win has to rank up there with the most enjoyable, most impressive victories in BYU history. Yes, UCLA may prove to be terrible and could certainly finishing below .500. But for now, this win is tasting mighty sweet.
In my lifetime, only a handful of other BYU wins compare to Saturday's show of dominance. The 1990 win over No. 1 Miami is right up there. The 1997 Cotton Bowl win over Kansas State was sweet, as were the last two years against the Utes. The dramatic opening win over Texas A&M in 1996 stuck with me, as did BYU's 2001 miracle at Rice-Eccles.
All were great for different reasons. Some for the magnitude of the win, others for the late dramatics. As for UCLA, the overwhelming nature of the victory made this one a sight to behold.
In more than 20 years of watching BYU, I've never seen a first half to match this one.
Hopefully, that won't be true in a few weeks.
Dominating wins over Wyoming, Utah State and New Mexico are up next. Then we get a treat when the Cougars visit TCU on Thursday, Oct. 16. Maybe that contest will make my "most memorable" list.
Only time will tell. But until Saturday, it's time to soak up BYU's leaving the Bruins in ruins as Jeff Call put it in Deseret News.
Good times. Good times.
Just how good was the UCLA win? Well, it's not only drawing big talk from ESPN and other national outlets, but fans are still buzzing days later.
This win has to rank up there with the most enjoyable, most impressive victories in BYU history. Yes, UCLA may prove to be terrible and could certainly finishing below .500. But for now, this win is tasting mighty sweet.
In my lifetime, only a handful of other BYU wins compare to Saturday's show of dominance. The 1990 win over No. 1 Miami is right up there. The 1997 Cotton Bowl win over Kansas State was sweet, as were the last two years against the Utes. The dramatic opening win over Texas A&M in 1996 stuck with me, as did BYU's 2001 miracle at Rice-Eccles.
All were great for different reasons. Some for the magnitude of the win, others for the late dramatics. As for UCLA, the overwhelming nature of the victory made this one a sight to behold.
In more than 20 years of watching BYU, I've never seen a first half to match this one.
Hopefully, that won't be true in a few weeks.
Dominating wins over Wyoming, Utah State and New Mexico are up next. Then we get a treat when the Cougars visit TCU on Thursday, Oct. 16. Maybe that contest will make my "most memorable" list.
Only time will tell. But until Saturday, it's time to soak up BYU's leaving the Bruins in ruins as Jeff Call put it in Deseret News.
Good times. Good times.
Saturday, September 13, 2008
Hard to top this day for BYU, MWC
Simply put, it was the greatest -- and most enjoyable -- half of football I've ever seen. Offense, defense, special teams: Everything went virtually perfect for BYU in a 59-0 rout of UCLA.
And the Cougars weren't the only Mountain West team to come away victorious against a Pac-10 foe on Saturday.
Incredibly, the MWC went 4-0 in its matchup with the Pac-10, including UNLV rallying from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 23-20 overtime win over No. 13 Arizona State.
TCU shredded Stanford 31-14 and should crack the Top 25 before the month is up. Even New Mexico, which has looked terrible this season, managed to beat a solid Arizona team 36-28.
Four-and-oh against the Pac-10 is sweet. Of course, nothing tops 59-0. From the three UCLA fumbles in the second quarter to the blocked field goal to Max Hall's record-tying seven touchdown passes, it was a day that left Cougar fans with hoarse voices and wide smiles.
Next true test: TCU in October. By then, BYU should be 6-0 with a Top 10 ranking.
Should be fun.
And the Cougars weren't the only Mountain West team to come away victorious against a Pac-10 foe on Saturday.
Incredibly, the MWC went 4-0 in its matchup with the Pac-10, including UNLV rallying from a 10-point fourth-quarter deficit to take a 23-20 overtime win over No. 13 Arizona State.
TCU shredded Stanford 31-14 and should crack the Top 25 before the month is up. Even New Mexico, which has looked terrible this season, managed to beat a solid Arizona team 36-28.
Four-and-oh against the Pac-10 is sweet. Of course, nothing tops 59-0. From the three UCLA fumbles in the second quarter to the blocked field goal to Max Hall's record-tying seven touchdown passes, it was a day that left Cougar fans with hoarse voices and wide smiles.
Next true test: TCU in October. By then, BYU should be 6-0 with a Top 10 ranking.
Should be fun.
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