Recipe for the Sweet 16

What'll it take to get BYU beyond the first-round NCAA oustings that have afflicted the Cougars in each tourney trip since 1993?
Here's a few key ingredients.
1. A good seed. If BYU can land a No. 6 seed, the Cougars could very likely make it to the second week of the Big Dance. A 7-10 seed means one-and-done or a possible first-round win followed by a weekend loss.
2. Avoiding Arizona. If the Arizona Wildcats are paired with BYU in the first round, watch out. The Cats are the type of quick slashing team that gives BYU major trouble (see the two San Diego State games). If BYU can draw an Illinois State, St. Mary's, Davidson or similar mid-major in Round 1, it should give them more confidence than playing a mid-level big-name school like Arizona, Oregon, Kentucky or Texas A&M.
3. The X Factor. If BYU lands a No. 6 seed and sits next to No. 3 Xavier on the bracket, welcome to the Sweet 16. Xavier is clearly the best three-seed matchup for the Cougars. BYU should have beaten the Musketeers in last year's first-round and the revenge factor may put the Cougars over the top.
4. The difference maker: JT for 3. If Jonathan Tavernari makes shots in the tourney, BYU advances. If he clanking up bricks, it'll be the same old story as Lee Cummard and the up-and-down Trent Plaisted won't be enough to win two games.
5. A little luck. The small breaks will make the difference as tourney games are always close. But the Cougars are living right, Magic Happens.