Tuesday, March 11, 2008

What will Selection Sunday bring?

Last season, the Mountain West's two best teams reached the conference title game. Host UNLV and BYU played an outstanding championship contest, ultimately won by the Rebels. UNLV was 28-6. BYU was 24-8. ESPN's Joe Lunardi projected both with great NCAA seeds. The Rebels were being talked about as a No. 5 seed. BYU as a 6 or 7.
Then the CBS Selection Show began. When UNLV rolled across as a No. 7, shock showed on the Rebels' faces. And BYU's hopes of a good seed were instantly dashed. Minutes later, the Cougars scrolled across as a No. 8 seed facing No. 8 Xavier.
Will this year bring more of the same? Once again, BYU and UNLV are the MWC's two best teams. Both are projected as tournament teams. Lunardi has BYU as a No. 6 and UNLV as an 11.
If the teams reach the MWC tourney title game again, will they be duly rewarded? One can only hope.
If BYU finishes 28-6 and lands lower than a No. 6, it'll be travishamockery. A six seed gives the Cougars a great chance to win one and very possibly two games in the Big Dance. Any lower (or higher, depending on how you look at it) and it's likely another first-round disappointment or at best, one-and-done.
For the record, I think the upsets of Championship Week will leave only two MWC teams in the NCAA field. Certainly one of those will be BYU, but whether the committee honors the Cougars' solid RPI, national ranking and outstanding record remains to be seen.
The Travis Hansen-led Cougars of 2002-03 had a solid record, a great RPI and hopes of a single-digit seed. They wound up a No. 12 and lost a close game to defending national champ Connecticut. A year later, a similar record and RPI left BYU as a No. 12 facing defending champ Syracuse.
The committee has a history of underseeding BYU by four or five spots. One can only hope this year will be different.

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